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Prediction markets for Election Market

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Feb 20, 12:06 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

5246184

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

IB / ForecastEx

Other

DraftKings or FanDuel

Betfair

Manifold

PredictIt

52

29

7

6

4

1

1

1

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.97%chance

3623430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2435

395

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

224428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10005

9976

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 2:03 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

15621

OptionProbability

Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

34

17

Which party will win the 2028 presidential election? / Will prediction markets be legal in 2030?

Mar 18, 9:41 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

5369

OptionProbability

Democrats/Yes

Republicans/Yes

Democrats/No

Republicans/No

48

21

19

12

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

Feb 10, 10:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10364

OptionProbability

Trump wins: Constitutional Crisis

Trump loses: Constitutional Crisis

66

55

When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?

Aug 3, 12:43 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

8351

OptionProbability

Later than this/never

1 Jan 2028

1 Jan 2027

1 Jan 2026

1 Jan 2025

1 Jan 2024

31

23

19

12

9

6

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 3:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11326

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Other

50

40

6

4

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will Lai Ching-te be re-elected?

Jan 14, 3:25 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

35%chance

593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

98

48

Taiwan Long Range Market: who will be the TPP candidate in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Aug 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

170

OptionProbability

Huang Kuo-chang

No candidate

Other

Ko Wen-je

52

20

20

8

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the TPP finish within 20% points of the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 3:22 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.54%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

55

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

80

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