Election Market News

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Feb 20, 12:06 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

5350079

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

IB / ForecastEx

Other

DraftKings or FanDuel

Betfair

Manifold

PredictIt

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.72%chance

3723787

OptionVotes

YES

2577

367

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Jun 20, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

155892

OptionProbability

**Assuming Burnham is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.55%chance

234541

OptionVotes

YES

10073

9882

Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040

Sep 7, 6:39 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

41.75%chance

3761

OptionVotes

YES

180

122

Will my Democrats win Texas Senate election? Market have 350 traders before 7pm est election day 2026?

Sep 7, 8:11 AMNov 3, 6:59 PM

71%chance

3670

OptionVotes

YES

1565

639

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 2:03 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

15621

OptionProbability

Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Which party will win the 2028 presidential election? / Will prediction markets be legal in 2030?

Mar 18, 9:41 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

6419

OptionProbability

Democrats/Yes

Republicans/Yes

Democrats/No

Republicans/No

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

Feb 10, 10:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10364

OptionProbability

Trump wins: Constitutional Crisis

Trump loses: Constitutional Crisis

When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?

Aug 3, 12:43 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

8351

OptionProbability

Later than this/never

1 Jan 2028

1 Jan 2027

1 Jan 2026

1 Jan 2025

1 Jan 2024

What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules)

Jul 31, 9:46 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

8164

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

Manifold

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

Dec 27, 8:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

776

OptionProbability

Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025? https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-real-money-prediction-markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy in the next 3 years? - https://manifold.markets/GregF/will-there-be-official-peace-talks

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030? - https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028? https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-the-united-states-abandon-its-117c19944677

Election Market News

Prediction markets for Election Market

Prediction markets for Election Market

Prediction markets for Election Market

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Will an official manifold account make markets for every state in every presidential election up to 2040

Will my Democrats win Texas Senate election? Market have 350 traders before 7pm est election day 2026?

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Which party will win the 2028 presidential election? / Will prediction markets be legal in 2030?

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?

What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules)

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

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