Election Market News

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Feb 20, 12:06 AMNov 11, 7:59 AM

5145634

OptionProbability

Polymarket

Kalshi

IB / ForecastEx

Other

DraftKings or FanDuel

Betfair

Manifold

PredictIt

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.3%chance

3523380

OptionVotes

YES

2385

405

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.21%chance

204208

OptionVotes

YES

10135

9805

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 2:03 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

15621

OptionProbability

Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

Feb 10, 10:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10364

OptionProbability

Trump wins: Constitutional Crisis

Trump loses: Constitutional Crisis

When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?

Aug 3, 12:43 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

8351

OptionProbability

Later than this/never

1 Jan 2028

1 Jan 2027

1 Jan 2026

1 Jan 2025

1 Jan 2024

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 3:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11318

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Other

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

Dec 27, 8:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

776

OptionProbability

Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025? https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-real-money-prediction-markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy in the next 3 years? - https://manifold.markets/GregF/will-there-be-official-peace-talks

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030? - https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028? https://manifold.markets/MarcusAbramovitch/will-the-united-states-abandon-its-117c19944677

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the TPP finish within 20% points of the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 3:22 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.54%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

Taiwan Long Range Market: who will be the TPP candidate in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Aug 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

020

OptionProbability

Huang Kuo-chang

Ko Wen-je

No candidate

Other

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Jan 14, 4:29 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

38.69%chance

317

OptionVotes

YES

102

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?

Jan 14, 4:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

54.95%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

Election Market News

Prediction markets for Election Market

Prediction markets for Election Market

Prediction markets for Election Market

Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election?

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Contingent Market: Donald Trump Election and Constitutional Crisis

When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Who will win the 2028 Presidential Election?

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the TPP finish within 20% points of the winner of the 2028 Presidential Election?

Taiwan Long Range Market: who will be the TPP candidate in the 2028 Presidential Election?

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will the NPP win any seats in the 2028 Legislative elections?

Taiwan 2028 Long Range Market: Will any 'Green' party, except the DPP, win seats in the 2028 Legislative Election?

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