Election Week News

YES

YES

Likud is the biggest party after next elections

Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)

Netanyahu claims the elections were stolen due to widespread fraud

New primary elections for Likud before the general elections

Religious Zionism–Zehut passes the threshold

Ra’am passes the threshold

Speaker of the is replaced within 4 weeks after elections day

New PM other than Netanyahu

Opposition block forms a minority coalition with external support of Arab block

A new government with Likud and Yashar is sweared in before 2027

Stalemate: no new government, another elections (similar to 2019)

The first candidate tasked with forming a government fails

Opposition-led coalition, with temporary support from Arab parties, is sweared in and immediately disbanded - just so Netanyahu will not be caretaker PM

Elections held before October 27th

Parliament dissolved before 2026 starts

Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections

Parliament dissolves before budget deadline (end of March)

Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections

More than 6% of eligible votes go to parties below the threshold

At least one incumbent coalition party fails to cross the electoral threshold

The largest party wins fewer than 25 seats

Amcha Yisrael passes the threshold

Reservists + New Economy passes the threshold

Blue and White passes the threshold

YES

YES

Other

Bobby Pulido (D- TX15)

Susan Collins (R|ME-SEN)

Adam Hamilton (D- KS Sen)

Henry Cuellar (D|TX-26)

Jack Reed (D|CT-SEN)

Brian Fitzpatrick (R|PA-01)

Mary Peltola (D|AK-SEN)

Dusty Johnson (R|SD-AL)

Kristen McDonald Rivet (D|MI-08)

YES

NO

YES

NO

YES

YES