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Prediction markets for Electron
Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.5%chance
1812354
OptionVotes
9625
2195
When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
Apr 10, 2:16 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
78075
OptionProbability
41
29
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035
Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
29.98%chance
217286
OptionVotes
15272
6552
OptionVotes
1221
918
Will All ATP Tour level matches use Electronic line calling by the end of 2028
Mar 6, 12:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.56%chance
81700
OptionVotes
1319
319
OptionProbability
100
100
99
96
89
72
62
38
Will demand for Rhodium from the Electrical & Electronics industry be ≥ ~2500 ozt in 2025?
Sep 18, 12:04 PMDec 25, 1:04 PM
88.03%chance
7783
OptionVotes
271
37
Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?
Dec 16, 7:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
47.13%chance
24760
OptionVotes
1036
960
Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?
Oct 6, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
14.41%chance
10347
OptionVotes
512
114
Will charged lepton flavor violation via muon to electron conversion be observed by 2030?
Mar 14, 3:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.98%chance
11284
OptionVotes
1086
947
OptionProbability
75
66
Will the effectiveness of water-powered, electronics-free dressings replicate with humans?
Aug 12, 10:15 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
56.74%chance
115
OptionVotes
115
87