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Prediction markets for Elon

Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?

Nov 13, 2:32 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

40.19%chance

12281482574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11134

7645

Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?

Jun 5, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

1005681913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16914

6432

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

Dec 17, 9:13 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.1%chance

165276848

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148529

67511

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.19%chance

41389376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11342

10380

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.72%chance

5954539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40585

2464

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

Jan 22, 5:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.06%chance

11152305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12282

9371

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.32%chance

14135138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19036

9645

The Political Fate of Elon

Sep 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4633030

OptionProbability

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Dems win

Convicted of felony if Dems win

Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win

X shut down/sold if Dems win

Convicted of felony if Reps win

X shut down/sold if Reps win

30

23

18

18

4

4

Elon Musk charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 12:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.79%chance

4421879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21175

7616

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.33%chance

11317915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14461

8011

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.19%chance

7814254

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1118

858

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.44%chance

2813335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21502

5811

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