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Prediction markets for Elsa

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

23.47%chance

11615920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2089

579

Will Elsa come out as Lesbian in Frozen 3?

Mar 21, 7:35 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

8.44%chance

716463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3601

819

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.69%chance

216349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5359

1039

What will be the name of my 1st female child?

Nov 24, 11:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

122420

OptionProbability

Mae

Other

Robin

Melody

Marin

May

Olivia

Grace

Jade

Rose

Emma

Ava

Mia

Luna

Emily

Aria

Ella

Nova

Willow

Alice

Autumn

Cora

Caroline

Anna

Serenity

Juniper

Moana

elsa

28

17

9

8

5

5

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

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