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Elusive News
Prediction markets for Elusive
Prediction markets for Elusive
How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?
Jan 20, 4:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11
3436
Option
Probability
5
6
4
7
Other
0-3
32
31
12
12
7
6
Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?
Jun 21, 1:20 AM
Jan 2, 2:11 AM
10.45%
chance
10
380
Option
Votes
YES
NO
293
34
Will a cure for fibromyalgia exist by 2036?
Jan 20, 9:36 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.43%
chance
3
350
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1350
741
Will a new theatrical Star Trek movie be released on or before January 30, 2030 (1/30/30)?
Jun 20, 11:09 PM
Jan 30, 11:59 PM
46.78%
chance
2
40
Option
Votes
YES
NO
124
73
Will the newly-discovered Mexican tree alligators (Abronia cunemica) be declared extinct by the end of the year 2035?
Jan 7, 10:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
39.85%
chance
2
17
Option
Votes
YES
NO
98
71
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