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Prediction markets for Elusive

How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?

Jan 20, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

238192

OptionProbability

6

7

5

Other

0-3

4

76

14

7

2

1

1

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will a cure for fibromyalgia exist by 2036?

Jan 20, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.43%chance

3350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

741

Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?

Aug 26, 9:25 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.66%chance

5177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

935

Will a new theatrical Star Trek movie be released on or before January 30, 2030 (1/30/30)?

Jun 20, 11:09 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

66%chance

4128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

90

Will the newly-discovered Mexican tree alligators (Abronia cunemica) be declared extinct by the end of the year 2035?

Jan 7, 10:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.85%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

98

71

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