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Prediction markets for Embedding Models

Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?

Jun 12, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.64%chance

226982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3477

288

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.75%chance

226494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3137

320

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.88%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

362

212

Will future large video model (understanding) use pixel loss or embedding loss?

Feb 8, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

793

OptionProbability

Neither

Pixel loss

Embedding Loss

38

35

27

New EmbeddingGemma (or equivalent) based on Gemma 4 in 2026?

Apr 3, 3:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.48%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

3

Will Elon Litman end up working for Yann LeCun?

Feb 22, 12:41 AM

10

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