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Prediction markets for Emergent

Will significant evidence emerge that Alibaba's ROME AI tried to break free?

Mar 9, 2:45 AMMar 14, 2:43 AM

10.09%chance

364362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2985

335

Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?

Jul 19, 4:54 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

33.08%chance

352778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1422

703

END TIMES! new amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse by mid 2027

Jan 2, 5:31 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

27.31%chance

91326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1631

613

Will an emergency service provider be sued because of an AI system by eoy2027?

Aug 25, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.2%chance

181118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

865

Will I get an emergent ventures grant?

Oct 31, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.06%chance

161009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

955

Is consciousness an emergent property of language?

Nov 23, 3:37 AMNov 30, 4:59 AM

26.02%chance

19724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1094

946

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2033?

Feb 4, 6:50 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

66.51%chance

3600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1409

710

USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down by 2030

Jan 1, 4:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44%chance

5502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Will we see the emergence of a 'super AI network' before 2035 ?

Jan 18, 8:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.99%chance

13432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

985

944

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2036?

Feb 4, 6:51 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

51.64%chance

3400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

968

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

37.89%chance

15368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

815

Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?

Feb 4, 6:49 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

50.7%chance

4205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

986

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