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Prediction markets for EMO

How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?

Oct 11, 4:53 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

48.3%chance

262546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

967

Will there be an official origami / paper crane emoji released by Unicode before EOY 2028?

Jan 9, 4:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.94%chance

241839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

694

Will there be a d20 (20 sided dice) emoji by the end of 2027?

Jun 12, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.98%chance

141705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2293

436

Will there be a 'Drop of Pee' emoji by EOY 2034?

Feb 16, 7:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.02%chance

241319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

927

Will AI be able to feel emotions before janary 1st 2050

Jan 9, 9:09 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.81%chance

191060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1339

747

Will there be a Pot Leaf emoji by EOY 2032?

Feb 16, 8:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.85%chance

16791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

860

Will there be a Pickleball emoji released before Pickleball is played in the Olympics?

Jun 3, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.77%chance

16768

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1450

690

Will there be a d20 emoji by EOY 2031?

Feb 16, 6:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.96%chance

21606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

987

Will there be an official Pokemon related emoji approved by Unicode before the end of 2035?

Mar 9, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.49%chance

11527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

954

Will Scott Alexander post another article with a title that matches "The [disease] of [emotion]" before 2028?

Jan 1, 9:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.07%chance

6425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card

Jan 21, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11380

OptionProbability

Measles cases triple

Cyber terrorism incident

Blue wave midterms

AI slop completely takes over platforms

More assassinations

Obesity rates dramatically decline

Chain movie theaters close across the country

More governments embrace Bitcoin

Really bad hurricane season

AI bubble pops (but it's not that bad)

Americans become more united

Trump has (another?) stroke

A major merger of streaming services

Solar power doubles

Emo makes a comeback

YouTube surpasses Netflix in paid subscribers

Stagflation

Gen Alpha rebels against digital media

EV sales skyrocket

Twitter shuts down

Robot restaurant trend

A new nonpartisan political movement starts

War with Venezuela

Everyone becomes a hipster

80

72

66

66

66

66

50

50

45

41

41

37

34

34

34

34

24

24

24

24

24

21

17

17

Will there be a Beret emoji by the end of 2031?

Mar 12, 10:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.42%chance

13255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1220

906

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