Empire State News

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

353628

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Vatican City

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

The Great Sphinx of Giza (Egypt)

Panama Canal (Panama)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Statue of Liberty (US)

The Empire State Building (US)

The Louvre (Paris, France)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Hoover Dam (US)

Port of Houston (US)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

Eiffel Tower (Paris, France)

The Holland Tunnel (The tunnel under the Hudson River) (NYC to NJ, US)

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

30.83%chance

351372

OptionVotes

YES

1342

622

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.51%chance

241180

OptionVotes

YES

1429

790

Will Roman Empire produce more than 10% of world GDP in 2100?

Mar 27, 10:05 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

7.25%chance

30685

OptionVotes

YES

1110

967

Will the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?

Dec 12, 12:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.89%chance

25619

OptionVotes

YES

1199

863

|| WHICH OF THESE MUSICAL REFERENCES WILL HIROIKO ARAKI USE IN HIS NEXT JOJO WORKS ||

Jan 23, 11:01 PMJan 30, 10:59 PM

13344

OptionProbability

"IRON MAIDEN"

"MR. BLUE SKY"

"BOOGIE WONDERLAND" by Earth, Wind & Fire

"HOTEL CALIFORNIA" by Eagles

"LOVELY DAY" by Bill Withers

"SABOTAGE" by Beastie Boys

"WILD YOUNG HEARTS" by Noisettes

"ATOMIC CITY" by U2

"CEMETERY GATES" by Pantera

"HOT STUFF" by Donna Summer

"LOW RIDER" by War

"RUBBERBAND MAN" by The Spinners

"HOUSE OF THE RISING SUN" by The Animals

"SIGN YOUR NAME" by Sananda Maitreya

"BLURRYFACE" by Twenty One Pilots

"EMPIRE STATE OF MIND" by Jay-z

"MAKING MIRRORS" by Gotye

"CHAPMAN" (Tracy Chapman)

"I'M OUTTA LOVE" by Anastacia

"HIT THE ROAD JACK" by Ray Charles

"TOXICITY" by System of a Down

"ENJOY THE SILENCE" by Depeche Mode

"CRAZY IN LOVE" by Beyoncé

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Oct 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.92%chance

9342

OptionVotes

YES

414

140

What will be the setting of the next 3D Xbox Assassin's Creed game after Shadows?

Nov 21, 11:55 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8177

OptionProbability

Other

Roman Republic / Empire

Late renaissance Germany

Postclassic / Colonial period Mesoamerica (e.g. Mayan city states, Aztec Empire, Spanish Empire)

Qin Dynasty China

Late Horizon / Colonial period Andean America (e.g. Inca Empire, Spanish Empire)

Colonial period West Africa (e.g. Ashanti, Dahomey, Benin)

Golden Age India (e.g. Gupta Empire)

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Jan 5, 11:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.34%chance

399

OptionVotes

YES

105

Is not the emperor's new outfit splendid?

Jan 14, 9:37 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.58%chance

543

OptionVotes

YES

156

144

Which election forecast is modeling uncertainty better?

Sep 19, 8:10 AM

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Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Will Roman Empire produce more than 10% of world GDP in 2100?

Will the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?

|| WHICH OF THESE MUSICAL REFERENCES WILL HIROIKO ARAKI USE IN HIS NEXT JOJO WORKS ||

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

What will be the setting of the next 3D Xbox Assassin's Creed game after Shadows?

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Is not the emperor's new outfit splendid?

Which election forecast is modeling uncertainty better?

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