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Prediction markets for End the Fed

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

98.79%chance

2863602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11829

384

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

18.29%chance

4610088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

823

Will Hunter Biden and Donald Trump serve time in the same federal correctional center by the end of 2026?

Sep 7, 3:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

266144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3052

8

Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.77%chance

654304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

792

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen issued a federal pardon before the end of day on December 31, 2026

Feb 4, 6:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.13%chance

111684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2368

422

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.54%chance

4876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

5690

OptionProbability

3 - 4.99%

1 - 2.99%

5 - 6.99%

Below 0%

0 - 0.99%

7 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

42

35

10

3

3

3

2

2

Will a U.S. Federal Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 31, 6:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.24%chance

13411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

936

Will the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?

Feb 20, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.56%chance

21332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

939

Will there be a US federal antitrust ruling against a 2025 frontier lab by the end of 2032?

Dec 1, 8:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

3300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

769

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.65%chance

10294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

927

Will "In The End, Gold Destroy The Fed" after "We Are Going To Experience Two Resets"?

Aug 8, 6:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

116

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