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Prediction markets for End the Fed

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

16.53%chance

5010354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1717

793

Will Hunter Biden and Donald Trump serve time in the same federal correctional center by the end of 2026?

Sep 7, 3:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

266144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3052

8

Will there be a federal ban on menthol cigarettes in the United States by the end of 2030?

Jun 4, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.43%chance

104723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3354

645

Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.77%chance

654304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

792

Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?

Dec 16, 2:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.99%chance

293990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3149

368

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen issued a federal pardon before the end of day on December 31, 2026

Feb 4, 6:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.13%chance

111684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2368

422

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.17%chance

91536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1430

699

Will a U.S. Federal Government entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 31, 6:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.86%chance

15810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1652

885

Will the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?

Apr 2, 6:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.46%chance

11794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

863

Will the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?

Feb 20, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.93%chance

22382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

989

Will there be a US federal antitrust ruling against a 2025 frontier lab by the end of 2032?

Dec 1, 8:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.16%chance

4350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1221

819

Will "In The End, Gold Destroy The Fed" after "We Are Going To Experience Two Resets"?

Aug 8, 6:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

116

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