OptionProbability
Manchester City
Manchester United
Arsenal
Other
Liverpool
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
81
8
7
2
1
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2412
415
Arsenal get a double digit lead at the top of the table at any point
Arsenal win the title
Title is decided before GW37
The title is decided by <3 points
Title is decided on GW38
Arsenal drop points against Aston Villa
Manchester City lead the league for at least 48 hours before GW38
The City/Arsenal game is decisive (result materially affects the title race)
The title is decided on goal difference
Arsenal remain unbeaten from GW27
Manchester City close out the season unbeaten (GW27+)
Manchester City win 6 straight games at any point
100
58
48
42
27
26
22
19
16
183
55
102
96
182
105
95
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
After 2035