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Prediction markets for Enterprise AI

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

4710036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1884

531

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.56%chance

265578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1545

648

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.01%chance

475555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3438

2470

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

Jan 4, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.47%chance

13692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

38

Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?

Feb 2, 6:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.18%chance

10192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will any AI Agent vendor announce >1M deployed enterprise AI agents by the end of Q1, 2026?

Dec 8, 5:51 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

170

OptionProbability

Sierra AI

Copilot

Hubspot

Service Now

Intercom

ZenDesk

Agentforce

34

34

34

34

34

34

34

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Jan 12, 5:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

00

Where do you expect Rust to rank among programming languages for “vibe coding” in 2027?

Jan 20, 9:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50

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