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Prediction markets for Enterprise AI

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

349106275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

485

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.42%chance

587234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3157

2569

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.04%chance

286057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2995

334

will ram prices go down by the end of 2027

Mar 21, 7:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.65%chance

122989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

Jan 4, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.59%chance

15964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

518

19

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

70

20

10

Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?

Feb 2, 6:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.18%chance

10192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will any AI Agent vendor announce >1M deployed enterprise AI agents by the end of Q1, 2026?

Dec 8, 5:51 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

2100

OptionProbability

Sierra AI

Copilot

Hubspot

Agentforce

Service Now

Intercom

ZenDesk

34

34

34

34

24

24

24

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Jan 12, 5:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

00

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