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Prediction markets for Enterprise AI

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

Dec 28, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.84%chance

395131749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2869

349

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.88%chance

4411762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

669

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7210411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4186

2254

will ram prices go down by the end of 2027

Mar 21, 7:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.65%chance

122989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

Will an individual-directed ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?

Apr 9, 9:49 AMApr 9, 9:48 AM

32.74%chance

122181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5594

2925

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

Jan 4, 1:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.34%chance

231693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

646

15

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

70

20

10

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?

May 5, 6:40 PMSep 30, 10:00 PM

63.03%chance

386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

47

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Jan 12, 5:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?

Jan 20, 10:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

00

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