Enterprise Data News

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.06%chance

5716388

OptionVotes

YES

1784

561

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.89%chance

8313640

OptionVotes

YES

5343

2013

Will an individual-directed ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?

Apr 9, 9:49 AMApr 9, 9:48 AM

43.17%chance

223650

OptionVotes

YES

4443

3625

Will we get commercialized optical disks with >=200TiB storage capacity? If so, when?

Feb 24, 2:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

152007

OptionProbability

2031- or never

2029-30

2027-2028

2026-2027

2024-2025

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

2102

476

The Big Claude by Anthropics Market 2026

Jul 26, 7:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91669

OptionProbability

Opus 5.1 or higher update before Q4

Haiku gets it's 5 version

IPO Valuation: $2 trillion+

Anthropic partners with a major cloud provider for exclusive compute capacity

Claude introduces long-term memory or persistent workspace features

Anthropic launches a new enterprise-focused data analysis tool

Anthropic acquires a specialized AI research startup

Fable retires before EOY

Antropics IPO happens before Nov '26

Claude monthly plan pricing is reduced by more than 20%

Anthropic announces an open-weights model release

100

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Will Aughinish announce production curtailment or major layoffs by end-2026?

Aug 8, 1:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.38%chance

2351

OptionVotes

YES

1351

740

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

In which year will the first extraterrestrially mined material arrive on Earth?

Jun 29, 3:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.21%chance

4137

OptionProbability

YES

392

273

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

665

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

Enterprise Data News

Prediction markets for Enterprise Data

Prediction markets for Enterprise Data

Prediction markets for Enterprise Data

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Will an individual-directed ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?

Will we get commercialized optical disks with >=200TiB storage capacity? If so, when?

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

The Big Claude by Anthropics Market 2026

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Will Aughinish announce production curtailment or major layoffs by end-2026?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

In which year will the first extraterrestrially mined material arrive on Earth?

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

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