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Prediction markets for Entra
By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition.
Jan 5, 10:59 AMJan 12, 8:00 AM
94.76%chance
3012097
OptionVotes
4237
241
¿El tratado de comercio T-MEC (USMCA) será sustituido con un tratado bilateral entre EE.UU. y México en 2026?
Oct 12, 11:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.02%chance
4295
OptionVotes
395
25
Will Learned League's trivia league reach 40,000 or more entrants by Season 120?
Nov 29, 7:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
64.96%chance
887
OptionVotes
200
149
A new entrant (not in top 100) on arena.ai enters top 50 before EOY 2027?
Apr 24, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.82%chance
332
OptionVotes
130
77
Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?
Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM
32.43%chance
329
OptionVotes
130
95
Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?
Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45%chance
05
OptionVotes
55
45
Will Andrew Chen still be the most famous alumni from UW's early entrance program by EOY 2035?
Jul 18, 3:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC attend SPARC by 2030?
Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50