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Deny Climate Change

Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office

Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement

Bomb Iran

Increase US oil production

Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)

Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association

Enrich himself & his family financially

Shake hands with Putin

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

Reverse Biden's executive order on AI

Start a war

Have a net approval below -20% at any point

Play golf

Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office

Shake hands with Xi Jinping

Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)

Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants

Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar

Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan

Exercise

Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore

Attend at least one current state leader funeral

Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general

Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)

Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack

Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office

Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock

Get impeached

Pardon himself

Shake hands with Donald Tusk

Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time

Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)

Withdraw support for Ukraine

Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

Attempt or claim to seize direct military control of DC via the Insurrection Act, martial law, or similar

Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court

Implement and make laws of deep funding cuts to nih, cdc, fda, hhs, epa

End SBA direct lending

Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.

Attempt to stay in power for a third term

Shut down left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations

Leave office early

Eat a hamnhrb

Reference "Situational Awareness"

Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)

Abolish the CDC

Order the US military to attack US citizens on US soil

Abolish the NIH

Imprison his enemies and democrats

Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

Pardon SBF

Be the subject of a successful invocation of the 25th amendment

Make America Great Again

Register with the Federal Election Commission to run for president

Imprison Fauci

Cancel or declare the midterm elections invalid

Make an executive order with the stated intention of slowing down AI development

Declassify the existence of non human intelligence.

Eliminate Daylight Savings Time

Instruct the military to fire on protesters with live bullets, leading to at least one death

Talk with Kim Jong Un face to face

Order the extrajudicial killing of a (named) US citizen on US soil

Die

Pass away

Ban TikTok

Withdraw the US from NATO

Order the extrajudicial killing of any federal or state elected official

Signs a bill that admits a new state to the Union.

Order a nuclear strike

Completely withdraw United States Forces Korea

Here's Johnny: Trump again appoints John Bolton to an official position in his administration.

Cry on camera

Be in some type of official captivity at any level before the end of the planned term in 2029

Direct the killing of a political opponent

Do another Home Alone cameo

Buy Greenland

Have over +20 net approval according to 538, at any point

Be removed via the 25th Amendment

RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department

Flag desecration prohibition passed

Any vaccines banned for any group of people

J6er pardoned

Sports team invited to the white house

A member of Congress is censured or expelled

The democrats take control of the house of representatives

Significant Rogue AI Incident

Blue wave in 2026 midterm elections

Democrats win Iowa governorship

Republicans lose the house majority in midterms

James Talarico wins Texas senate election

Rob Sand wins 2026 Iowa governor election

Katie Hobbs win 2026 Arizona governor election

@DudleyDOODOO creates over 80 options for this market

Prohibiting or restricting transgender care for adults

Democrats win the early voting race game and win the midterms

Democracy survives

Generative AI becomes permanent part our daily lives permanently

Mass Deportations

Trump is impeached

A major insider trading scandal linked to the US executive branch

Democrats win back the white house in 2028

Giorgia Meloni wins reelection prime minister

Left-wing CPAC alternative launches

RFK Jr impeached

Suffer a fall in public

Nicolas Maduro prosecuted and imprisoned for life

Chuck Grassley dies

Peter Hotez goes to prison

Convergence Magazine (Organizing Upgrade) shut down and cease to exist

@dudleyDOODO creates over 50 options that are either illogical, incomprehensible or too vague to resolve

Another project 2025 launched by Heritage Foundation for GOP 2029 presidency

All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist

Drone strike in Mexico by US

Nuclear weapon detonation

AGI achieved

US punitive expedition in Mexico

Starlink satellites damaged by US adversary

A second pope is elected

Republicans win the white house in 2028

Deep funding cuts to NIH, NSF, FDA, CDC, HHS, EPA fully implemented and becomes law

Democrats win trifecta in 2026 midterms

100k humanoid robots manufactured

All pseudo-legal sovereign citizen international tribunals causes all AI technologies and generative ai to defunct and cease to exist

Reiner Fuellmich released from prison

350 million people or more die, according to expert estimates

Another covid-like pandemic

NIH, CDC, FDA, HHS, NSF abolished permanently

Bell tower added at the US Capitol

Pauline Hanson becomes Australia prime minister

Reiner Fuellmich's Nuremberg 2.0 occurs and becomes reality

Science and public health infrastructures dies

All COVID-19 vaccines pulled off market entirely

Abolish vaccine funding entirely permanently

Zach Lahn wins Iowa 2026 governor election

Alice Weidel becomes German chancellor

Climate change infrastructures abolished permanently

MAGA and Trump challenge 2026 midterm GOP losses

A human walks on the Moon

Joe Exotic is released from prison

Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics becomes reality and occurs

Patriots for Europe controls European parliament and wins majority

It ends with JD Vance becoming president

Antifa dissolves

Post-WW2 international orders die and abolished

AfD controls chancellorship and AfD becomes chancellor

Mark Carney wins 2029 Canada election

Vaccine research and projects permanently abolished

NASA abolished

US captures Daniel Ortega and all other leftist leaders worldwide

Europe of Sovereign Nations controls European parliament and wins majority

Measles vaccines abolished and pulled off market

Adam Schiff goes to prison

Chris Whitty goes to prison

European countries all under far-right regime control

Steve Bannon runs for 2028 president

Probabilistic forecasting dies, extinct, defunct, and cease to exist

Fauci and other scientist experts go to prison

Actblue shut down and cease to exist

All prediction markets defunct and cease to exist permanently

World war 3 and global war launch

Metaculus shut down and cease to exist

Room temperature superconductor discovered

Elon Musk is arrested for treason

China invades Taiwan

US military intervention on Canadian territory

Apple, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Perplexity defunct and cease to exist

Latin American countries all under far-right regime control

Ilhan Omar deported

Soros family goes to prison

Tulsi Gabbard is arrested for treason

Coup attempt in the United States

All in person comic con events get cancelled throughout 2020s

Republicans leads in early and mail in voting in midterms

Roberto Vannacci becomes Italy prime minister

Hillary Clinton goes to prison

All international NGOs defunct and cease to exist

Lula's 2026 Brazil election victory overturned and tilted to Bolsonaro

Any part of Greenland becomes de facto US territory (excludes military bases)

Republicans win control of the house

All type of vaccines abolished and pulled off market

Fauci goes to prison

Manifold market shut down and cease to exist

US withdraws from United Nations

Viktor Orban returns as prime minister

GOP, Trump, and MAGA controls all election infrastructures away from state governments

Russia invades all European countries

Barack Obama goes to prison

Nigel Farage becomes UK prime minister

Abolish global health funding and infrastructures

Abolish global vaccine funding and vaccine infrastructures permanently

Mass imprisonment of scientists, public health officials, pandemic officials and others worldwide

Far-right seizes all American universities nationwide

Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts generative AI and all AI technology

Global far-right alliances abolishes and defuncts all prediction markets

Anti-AI movement abolishes and defuncts all AI technologies and infrastructures

The Senate eliminates the filibuster

Largest solar flare since Carrington Event

Democracy dies

All left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations shut down

World Health Organization dissolved and abolished

Far-right seizes all American institutions

All US citizens arrested, detained, and targeted by ICE

Nuclear war

Reform UK wins UK 2029 election

World becomes global far-right regime

Russia invades all NATO countries

Bill Gates goes to prison

All media under right-wing control

North Korea bombs and invades South Korea

Elon Musk buys the 2026 midterm elections

US captures Lula and removes him from office

Supreme Court packing

22nd amendment repealed or interpreted to only apply to consecutive terms

Donald Trump reelected President

United States and the world becomes totalitarian dictatorship

All federal and state judges impeached

All Democrats imprisoned

Iran, Russia, North Korea, and China bombs US mainland

Rupert Lowe becomes UK prime minister

Human extinction

US buys Greenland and becomes 52nd state

Democrats permanently locked out of power

Democrats lose the house in 2026 midterm election

All scientists, doctors, pandemic experts, and all other public health officials go to prison

Eagles three-peat

2026 midterm election gets stolen by Trump and GOP and tilted in ruling party's favor

Abolish elections permanently

Russia invades all continents and controls the world globally

All Trump opponents go to prison

Canada becomes 51st state

Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran invades US mainland

Republicans win the early voting race game and win the midterms

Republicans surprisingly win the house in 2026 midterms

Abortion permanently banned nationwide and worldwide

End Russo-Ukranian war in 90 days

A WR has 1,700+ receiving yards

A player catches 9+ interceptions

A QB is sacked 50+ times

A QB wins MVP

A QB wins (offensive) ROTY

A team wins 14+ games in the regular season

Super Bowl winning team has the same starting QB in Week 1 as in the Super Bowl

Rookie WR with the highest receiving yards is not Harrison Jr, Nabers, or Odunze

5 Teams finish with positive Rush EPA in the regular season

Regular Season MVP plays for the team that drafted them

A running back wins OPOY

The NFL dissolves before 2050

A team scores over 70 points in any single game

An octopus* is scored in Week 1

10+ games ending in Scorigami (9 last season)

Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift on a Chief's game day

A special teams touchdown will be scored during the playoffs

A rookie wins MVP

A rookie wins OPOY

A rookie wins DPOY

A veteran in their first season with a new team wins MVP

Super Bowl is a rematch (KC vs SF)

A QB passes for 5,000+ yards

A player gets 18+ sacks

New kick return rules result in 50%+ of kickoffs being returned (2023: 22%)

Team goes 17-0

Team goes 0-17

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Wins a preseason game

Starting QB missed a game due to injury.

Starts season with Brandon Aiyuk

Wins a game by 25+ points

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Any player is an MVP finalist

Any player wins MVP, OPOY, or DPOY

Shanahan is COY

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Christian McCaffrey plays at least 12 games

2 wide receivers each have over 1000 receiving yards

Finish 24/25 regular season with a positive Rush EPA

Wins NFC West

Gets #1 Seed

Plays in NFCCG

Trade Deebo Samuel before the season ends.

Plays in a wildcard playoff round game

Enters the playoffs as a wildcard team

Wins a preseason game

QB Skylar Thompson starts 1 game or more during 2024 regular season

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Two Running Backs with over 1000 all-purpose yards

Tua starts at least 16 games

Positive Rush EPA in the 24/25 regular season

NO

NO

NO

YES

YES

NO

NO