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Top stories

China Probes Inflated EV Sales as Mercedes and Tesla Slash Prices

China Probes Inflated EV Sales as Mercedes and Tesla Slash Prices

Authors

10

12 days ago

Prediction markets for EQS

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

32.98%chance

5710753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11036

10936

Will Sam Altman receive a significant equity stake in OpenAI? (>= 3% of the company) before end of 2025?

Sep 27, 5:49 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.75%chance

666432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1871

391

Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?

Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.04%chance

393976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

793

Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?

Jan 17, 7:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.8%chance

112475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1464

683

Will xAI reach 50 million H100-equivalents in 5 years?

Jul 22, 6:31 PMJul 24, 3:59 AM

53.86%chance

122013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

Will the Chinese government announce a equivalent AI project to Stargate in 2025

Jan 22, 4:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.68%chance

151259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

697

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.66%chance

411103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

939

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Nov 24, 12:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.22%chance

27922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

871

Will the EU require virtual currency purchases to display real-money equivalents within a year?

Sep 12, 2:35 AMSep 11, 9:59 PM

21.09%chance

7890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

86

Will the 12-month inflation rate announced in January 2026 be lower or equal than 3.0%

Nov 15, 11:55 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40.58%chance

4310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

826

Will European Union greenhouse gaz emissions reach less than 5tCO2 eq per capita by 2035?

Apr 15, 1:08 AMJun 1, 9:59 PM

59%chance

3116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

127

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Dec 26, 1:16 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 21, 2025
Jul 21, 2025
China
Automobile
Law
China Probes Inflated EV Sales as Mercedes and Tesla Slash Prices
Authors
10
12 days ago

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