EU AI Act News

The EU AI Act fully enters into force (key provisions enforced, not just passed).

Rockstar Games officially releases Grand Theft Auto VI.

The Leader of a top-10 GDP country dies.

Only one of these will happen in 2026.

A new element is officially added to the periodic table.

The executives/government coalitions in at least 3 top-10 GDP countries holds less than 50% of their national parliament at the same time.

None of these will happen in 2026.

A formal peace treaty is signed by Ukraine and Russia.

A peer-reviewed paper claims strong biosignatures on another planet or moon and is widely accepted (e.g., cited by NASA/ESA) as credible.

A human lands on the Moon in a crewed mission.

A major social media platform completely bans the use of anonymous accounts.

A country formally declares the climate crisis a national security emergency.

A new country is officially recognized by the United Nations.

BRICS members, partners, candidates are involved on opposite sites of wars or military campaigns or military strikes or military actions on at least two separate occasions.

A human-to-human virus is declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO.

A country admits to the Nord Stream sabotage.

At least one of the following three countries is part of a war or military campaign or military strike or military action on either side. (North Korea, Turkmenistan, Eritrea)

YES

NO

NO

YES

YES

YES

NO

Allied Coordination by 2030: There is allied coordination between key countries in the AI hardware supply chain on HEM development and/or deployment by 2030, targeting hardware security for either tamper-evident or tamper-proof HEMs.

Commercially Available HEMs by 2030: Fully tamper-evident or tamper-proof AI hardware becomes commercially available before 2030

Location Verification for US Export Controls by 2028: The US enacts location verification requirements for exported chips before 2028 (enforcement may not begin until afterward)

US-China Treaty Verification by 2030: Both the US and China sign an AI development treaty (potentially non-binding) involving HEMs by 2030

NO

NO

NO