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Prediction markets for Europe
How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
42130742
OptionProbability
26
21
20
18
17
11
OptionVotes
6300
159
Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
May 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
36.83%chance
488888
OptionVotes
1310
764
Will the UK be the best performing country by GDP growth in Europe in 2028
Feb 27, 11:45 AMDec 27, 3:59 PM
14.49%chance
326484
OptionVotes
1080
957
Will Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Mar 18, 5:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.36%chance
223207
OptionVotes
3112
321
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.27%chance
262759
OptionVotes
2115
473
OptionVotes
1571
636
OptionVotes
1149
455
OptionVotes
1084
672
Will an intercity highspeed / Maglev (>500 km/h) passenger train operate in Europe before 2035?
Jul 27, 3:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.65%chance
18536
OptionVotes
1332
938
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?
Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
31.41%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1021
930
Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?
Mar 7, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.54%chance
9283
OptionVotes
1138
968