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Prediction markets for European rocket

Will ESA’s Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission to detect gravitational waves launch in 2035 as planned?

Jan 28, 10:16 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

38.27%chance

18455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

940

When will an orbital launch from continental Europe first successfully reach orbit?

Jun 30, 12:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

By 30 September 2026

1 October – 31 December 2026

During 2027

During 2028

2029 or later

20

20

20

20

20

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