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Prediction markets for Evening Standard

Will Tesla launch level 4 robotaxis this summer?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

20.68%chance

19838043

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

817

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2025?

Feb 16, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.78%chance

35321730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9008

1501

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

1224

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

May 25, 5:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.21%chance

425408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

940

Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?

May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM

37.78%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

779

Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?

Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.25%chance

22545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

934

Will ConsenSys experience an "exit" in 2025?

Jan 7, 12:02 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.27%chance

3270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

787

By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?

Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

47.65%chance

5207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.79%chance

14181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

986

Will the next version of the C programming language (C2y) include a "defer" feature?

Apr 22, 6:20 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

55.1%chance

4112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

903

Major racquet sports tourney uses robot servers

Apr 29, 9:01 AMJun 30, 8:47 AM

51.5%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM

50.74%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

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