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Prediction markets for EVI

[read description] Did Trump have sexual relations with an underage girl? (based on 2025 evidence, according to poll)

Jul 23, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.17%chance

530172037

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?

Sep 14, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

9225503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2302

1940

Evil Fossil Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 11:13 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6721130

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1374

1146

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

May 24, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.11%chance

14018007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2694

1804

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.07%chance

18312142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3887

1744

By 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?

Nov 25, 11:02 PMDec 30, 4:59 PM

44.8%chance

287813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13186

5373

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?

Dec 23, 7:50 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

312388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

951

Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?

Dec 22, 10:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.48%chance

311997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

529

Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?

Jul 3, 7:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.79%chance

111151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.66%chance

411103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

939

Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100?

Aug 18, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.65%chance

27931

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

931

Will a GWAS be broadly cited by hereditarians as strong evidence for a > 40% heritability of cognitive ability by 2035?

Jul 19, 7:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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