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Prediction markets for EVI

Did Trump have sexual relations with an underage girl? (based on 2025 evidence, according to future poll)

Jul 23, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.14%chance

33892414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

907

Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?

Sep 14, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.31%chance

9124264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2034

1605

Evil Fossil Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 11:13 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6721130

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1374

1146

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

May 24, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.11%chance

14018007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2694

1804

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.07%chance

18312142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3887

1744

By 2030 will 𝕏 show clear evidence of becoming a collective consciousness?

Nov 25, 11:02 PMDec 30, 4:59 PM

44.91%chance

277793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13166

5389

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?

Dec 23, 7:50 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31.41%chance

302338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

971

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.66%chance

411103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

939

Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?

Jul 3, 7:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.19%chance

101051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

769

Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?

Dec 23, 7:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.04%chance

22912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

712

Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100?

Aug 18, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.59%chance

26856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

933

Will a GWAS be broadly cited by hereditarians as strong evidence for a > 40% heritability of cognitive ability by 2035?

Jul 19, 7:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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