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Prediction markets for EVT

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Jul 8, 6:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.76%chance

11533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

405

25

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2025?

Jul 8, 6:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.45%chance

9345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

417

24

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

Aug 10, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6314

OptionProbability

Joby

Archer

Beta Technologies

Wisk

Removed - will resolve N/A

Other

Volocopter

39

20

14

14

6

6

1

Will there be a commercially available eVTOL before Jan 1st 2028?

Nov 25, 9:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.68%chance

4212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

27

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