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Prediction markets for Exchange

Will Binance be the #1 exchange in 2030?

Dec 15, 5:59 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.17%chance

404132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1430

787

Will the TXSE (Texas Stock Exchange) be seen as a viable alternative to the NYSE/Nasdaq by 2028?

Jun 5, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.42%chance

313083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2342

427

Will Twitter (X) be re listed in a public exchange and become a public company again before 2027?

Aug 6, 4:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

6.49%chance

182955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3615

552

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Aug 11, 5:29 PMAug 11, 8:59 PM

5.66%chance

13819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1279

950

Will Brian Armstrong (founder of Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 27, 11:22 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.44%chance

18638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

965

Will Fred Ehrsam (crypto investor, co-founder at Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 18, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.45%chance

10447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

939

Will a CFTC exchange be clearing sports outcome contracts on...?

Sep 8, 6:37 PMJan 2, 7:31 PM

1420

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2026

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2030

80

69

65

61

50

Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2028?

Dec 16, 6:45 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.7%chance

8119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

99

Will Kris Marszalek (CEO of Crypto.com Exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Apr 29, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.91%chance

4110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

82

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Will Coinbase Exchange be the 2nd largest crypto exchange market at the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.75%chance

522

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

127

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