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Prediction markets for Exchange

Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?

Apr 5, 10:29 PMApr 5, 10:27 PM

25.01%chance

396346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1731

578

Will Binance be the #1 exchange in 2030?

Dec 15, 5:59 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.17%chance

404132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1430

787

Will the TXSE (Texas Stock Exchange) be seen as a viable alternative to the NYSE/Nasdaq by 2028?

Jun 5, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.42%chance

313083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2342

427

Will Twitter (X) be re listed in a public exchange and become a public company again before 2027?

Aug 6, 4:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

6.49%chance

182955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3615

552

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Aug 11, 5:29 PMAug 11, 8:59 PM

5.74%chance

13820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1262

951

Will Brian Armstrong (founder of Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 27, 11:22 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.44%chance

18638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

965

Will Fred Ehrsam (crypto investor, co-founder at Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 18, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.45%chance

10447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

939

Will Koichiro Wada (CEO of Coincheck exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Apr 29, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.55%chance

3152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

60

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

56.94%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

Will the USD/BRL exchange rate exceed 10 before 2030?

Jun 11, 3:05 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

62.68%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

86

58

Will Coinbase Exchange be the 2nd largest crypto exchange market at the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.75%chance

522

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

127

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