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Prediction markets for Executive

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2545514

OptionProbability

5

6 - 7

4

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

0

1

2

3

31

28

23

8

3

3

1

1

1

1

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

18.26%chance

5522494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20673

5320

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.17%chance

5217831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2116

936

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.11%chance

614403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20258

6180

Will Nidal Hasans execution be livestreamed in 2026?

Oct 9, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.15%chance

4913123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5307

30

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.57%chance

5212004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8319

3970

Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?

Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

15%chance

8510715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6313

1835

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

6.81%chance

135118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5573

420

Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?

Dec 24, 8:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.19%chance

774290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

864

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?

Sep 20, 4:46 AMSep 20, 4:42 AM

17.26%chance

81719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2190

457

Will USPS reject at least 100,000 mail ballots due to Trump's executive order in 2026?

Sep 1, 10:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.46%chance

101497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1972

507

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

30.77%chance

9959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

667

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