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Prediction markets for Executive

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.64%chance

5115740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

944

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.52%chance

6713988

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2033

492

Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?

Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

19.99%chance

795163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5086

2092

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.35%chance

23973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9982

9977

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3582

645

SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.

Oct 9, 11:09 PMJan 1, 12:08 AM

18.28%chance

302290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2115

473

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

45.27%chance

171797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10257

9774

Will Trump use an executive order to restrict funding for schools that mandate any vaccine OTHER THAN COVID in 2025

Feb 14, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.09%chance

181710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

486

Executive order affects O1 visas (2025)

Sep 20, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.76%chance

6885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1842

543

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?

Sep 20, 4:46 AMSep 20, 4:42 AM

34.67%chance

6709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1373

728

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57%chance

12518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

8459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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