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Prediction markets for Executive

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.17%chance

5217831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2116

936

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.53%chance

6714104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2252

444

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

189435

OptionProbability

2

3

1

4

0

5

6 - 7

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

24

21

18

11

8

6

5

3

2

1

Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?

Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

14.93%chance

796414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6335

1831

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.56%chance

34973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10982

9353

Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?

Dec 24, 8:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.91%chance

754214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

840

SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.

Oct 9, 11:09 PMJan 1, 12:08 AM

81.25%chance

333747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2082

480

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3582

645

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.28%chance

122625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7188

4278

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

45.04%chance

181847

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10307

9733

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?

Sep 20, 4:46 AMSep 20, 4:42 AM

34.67%chance

6709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1373

728

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

47.56%chance

8509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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