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Prediction markets for Executive

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.92%chance

4715467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

948

Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?

Dec 24, 8:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.27%chance

734109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

828

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.36%chance

13970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9979

9979

Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?

Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

28.21%chance

773853

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3836

2483

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3582

645

Will Donald Trump sign more than 300 Executive Orders in 2025?

Feb 9, 6:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.38%chance

382899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1344

744

Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing.

Oct 19, 7:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.3%chance

322508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1619

793

Trump will sign yet another executive order that mentions "Bitcoin" in 2025

Mar 7, 6:26 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

71.74%chance

241928

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1593

628

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

141602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10441

9624

Will Trump use an executive order to restrict funding for schools that mandate any vaccine OTHER THAN COVID in 2025

Feb 14, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.97%chance

161110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1459

685

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.38%chance

11511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

862

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

50%chance

8459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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