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Top stories

Executive Orders

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Treasury Hits Shamkhani Fleet in Biggest Iran Sanctions Since 2018

Authors

7

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Executive Order

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.54%chance

6313376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3094

323

SCOTUS rules Trump's birthright citizenship executive order unconstitutional (fully or partly) by Sept 1st 2025

Jan 21, 3:58 PMAug 30, 12:00 AM

808289

OptionProbability

Fully Unconstitutional

Partly Unconstitutional

Constitutional

81

16

3

How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?

Jan 21, 11:11 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

696899

OptionProbability

9

8

7

4 or fewer

6

5

37

27

17

8

6

5

Will Donald Trump sign more than 200 Executive Orders in 2025?

Feb 8, 8:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

90.06%chance

444583

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3011

332

Will I Experience a Material Change in Living Situation Due to the Executive Order on the Presidio Trust by End of 2025?

Feb 20, 3:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.53%chance

83765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4589

218

Will Donald Trump sign more than 300 Executive Orders in 2025?

Feb 9, 6:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.38%chance

382899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1344

744

How many executive orders will Trump issue over the course of his second term?

Dec 28, 9:37 PMJan 11, 4:59 AM

192291

OptionProbability

401 to 500

501 to 600

301 to 400

More than 800

601 to 700

701 to 800

201 to 300

101 to 200

100 or fewer

21

20

19

12

10

9

5

3

1

Trump will sign yet another executive order that mentions "Bitcoin" in 2025

Mar 7, 6:26 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

71.74%chance

241928

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1593

628

Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?

Aug 23, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.16%chance

481640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1434

906

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

141602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10441

9624

Will Trump use an executive order to restrict funding for schools that mandate any vaccine OTHER THAN COVID in 2025

Feb 14, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.97%chance

161110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1459

685

Will the US executive order flops ceiling be updated/raised/revised before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.97%chance

71075

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

43

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Jul 30, 2025
Jul 30, 2025
Middle East
Executive Orders
US Foreign Policy
U.S. Treasury Hits Shamkhani Fleet in Biggest Iran Sanctions Since 2018
Authors
7
3 days ago

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