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Prediction markets for Exo

Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?

Aug 18, 7:32 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.4%chance

6037297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3407

427

Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2040?🚀

Jan 7, 3:49 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10%chance

455300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

905

Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2030?🚀

Jan 7, 3:43 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.83%chance

313644

OptionVotes

NO

YES

967

950

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.79%chance

292096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1778

534

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

10.29%chance

121771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

182

Will there be ≥30k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2030?

Oct 27, 2:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.16%chance

241640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

678

Will exoskeleton hiking pants be available to purchase from REI before June 2027?

Apr 25, 5:07 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

41.08%chance

111042

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

835

Will there be ≥20k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2030?

Oct 27, 2:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.62%chance

15766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

963

Will an exotic physics catastrophe wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jul 23, 1:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.51%chance

5744

OptionVotes

YES

NO

423

85

By 2035, will we have measured an exoplanet atmosphere whose composition is best explained by the presence of life?

Apr 16, 10:05 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

47.73%chance

9414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

121

Will exoskeleton hiking pants be available to purchase from REI before 2029?

Oct 30, 1:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56%chance

6241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

Will the second ascentionist of Elias Iagnemma's Exodia agree with the V18 (9A+) grade?

May 31, 7:09 AMMay 31, 7:06 AM

50.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

995

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