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Prediction markets for Exodus

Which country will have the largest exodus of people (increase in emigrant population) between 2020 and 2025?

Feb 5, 7:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8812766

OptionProbability

Ukraine

Venezuela

India

Palestine

Argentina

Afghanistan

Russia

Pakistan

Other

Syria

China

Mexico

86

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Exodus Propulsion Technologies propellantless propulsion work in space?

Apr 28, 8:23 AMMay 28, 10:59 PM

20.57%chance

61752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

75

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.61%chance

271695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1348

703

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

16.61%chance

121651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

200

Will "OpenAI: Exodus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 21, 4:46 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.73%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

985

Were any of the Venezuelans recently deported from America to El Salvador's mega-prison innocent?

Mar 24, 12:17 AM

140

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