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Expectations Index News
Prediction markets for Expectations Index
Prediction markets for Expectations Index
Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]
Aug 2, 10:37 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
23.58%
chance
477
89897
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7410
4932
Will Polymarket or Kalshi offer ‘index contracts’ (contracts with continuous payoffs) in 2025?
Feb 16, 6:33 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
22.54%
chance
6
854
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1854
540
Will The S&P 500 Close above 6,500 on December 31st, 2025?
Jan 25, 7:32 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
60%
chance
18
667
Option
Votes
NO
YES
122
82
Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?
Aug 8, 1:54 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
29.5%
chance
15
628
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1177
900
Will someone win the Healthspan XPRIZE of 101m restoring muscle, cognition, immune function by minimum 10yrs by 2030?
Nov 29, 11:58 PM
Dec 7, 7:59 AM
27.95%
chance
9
442
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1484
1113
What will the US obesity rate be in 2030?
Aug 13, 12:06 PM
Aug 21, 3:59 AM
4
410
Will the 200D moving average of the CBOE VIX Index hit 14 at any point of this decade?
Mar 7, 1:25 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
54%
chance
4
82
Option
Votes
NO
YES
596
527
Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
Mar 22, 9:34 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
59.46%
chance
7
55
Option
Votes
NO
YES
234
172
Will my SPXL position go to zero before 2040?
Jun 7, 2:15 AM
Jan 11, 4:59 AM
35%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
87
57
Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?
Nov 11, 4:03 AM
Oct 10, 6:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
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