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Prediction markets for Explorations

By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?

Aug 10, 10:32 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

42700

OptionProbability

2030-12-31

2028-12-31

2028-09-30

26

8

6

Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?

May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

23%chance

412193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

835

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?

Jul 5, 4:15 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

16.92%chance

401789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

988

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

Apr 22, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.08%chance

17700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

918

Will a self-replicating space probe capable of exploring and utilizing resources be created before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.69%chance

11609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

419

111

Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?

Jun 29, 5:49 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

39.88%chance

10494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

814

Will any country, region or municipal government explore the possibility of becoming a fully-fledged futarchy?

Apr 18, 1:49 PMDec 30, 4:00 PM

46.29%chance

12240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

989

Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will any video games be based on exploring the interior of a computer chip/GPU/SSD as a world in and of itself by 2028?

Jun 23, 12:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.94%chance

392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

66

Will space exploration and commercialization be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

May 8, 6:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.61%chance

574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

98

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

41.81%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

127

Will the OceanGate cofounder's other company explore Dean's Blue Hole and resurface without injuring anyone by EOY 2026?

Jun 20, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.86%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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