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Top stories

YouTube Launches Global ‘Hype’ Button to Boost Small Creators

YouTube Launches Global ‘Hype’ Button to Boost Small Creators

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Explore

By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?

Aug 10, 10:32 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

42700

OptionProbability

2030-12-31

2028-12-31

2028-09-30

26

8

6

Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?

May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

23%chance

412193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

835

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?

Jul 5, 4:15 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

16.92%chance

401789

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

988

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

Apr 22, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.63%chance

181450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1945

783

Will a self-replicating space probe capable of exploring and utilizing resources be created before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.69%chance

11609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

419

111

Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?

Jun 29, 5:49 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

39.88%chance

10494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

814

Will any country, region or municipal government explore the possibility of becoming a fully-fledged futarchy?

Apr 18, 1:49 PMDec 30, 4:00 PM

46.29%chance

12240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

989

What milestones will JAXA's Martian Moons eXploration mission achieve?

Jun 22, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1210

OptionProbability

Successful Mars transfer orbit insertion

Mars orbit insertion

Deimos flyby

Touchdown on Phobos

Sample collection

Sample capsule release

Sample capsule collection at Earth

74

65

59

50

50

47

43

Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will space exploration and commercialization be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

May 8, 6:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.61%chance

574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

98

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

41.81%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

127

Will the OceanGate cofounder's other company explore Dean's Blue Hole and resurface without injuring anyone by EOY 2026?

Jun 20, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.86%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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