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Prediction markets for Explorer

Will a movie be made about the missing Titanic explorer?

Jun 21, 7:49 AMJan 1, 8:01 AM

98.96%chance

10136615

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16898

169

Will Luffy’s & Roger’s shared dream somehow relate to exploring space?

May 4, 7:28 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM

22.51%chance

361988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

827

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?

Jul 5, 4:15 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

17.09%chance

391779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

990

Will any lawmakers use the threat of AI to justify funding space exploration before 2026?

Apr 22, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.26%chance

16500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

975

Will the majority of developed nations prioritize funding for longevity research over space exploration by 2035?

Jun 29, 5:49 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

46.25%chance

10344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

928

Will any country, region or municipal government explore the possibility of becoming a fully-fledged futarchy?

Apr 18, 1:49 PMDec 30, 4:00 PM

49.22%chance

12184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

947

Will "In favour of exploring nagging doubts about x..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 5, 5:42 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.37%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

803

Will any video games be based on exploring the interior of a computer chip/GPU/SSD as a world in and of itself by 2028?

Jun 23, 12:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.94%chance

392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

66

Will space exploration and commercialization be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?

May 8, 6:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.61%chance

574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

98

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

41.81%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

127

Will "Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Li..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Oct 2, 6:59 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17%chance

133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

821

Will "Gender Exploration" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 17, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

1000

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