Extend Duration News

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.66%chance

48290312

OptionVotes

YES

7387

4939

🚨UPDATE MARCH 2026🚨 Will a decipherment of the Voynich Manuscript be scientifically recognized by end of Dec 31, 2026

Feb 18, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.93%chance

5210582

OptionVotes

YES

1380

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Jan 3, 2:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

814834

OptionProbability

North America

Asia

Europe

Other

Antarctica

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

262000

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

Feb 19, 8:35 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

16.27%chance

301889

OptionVotes

YES

567

111

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

28.12%chance

251306

OptionVotes

YES

1669

510

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 2:45 PMDec 5, 4:59 AM

74.3%chance

141260

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Jan 6, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.76%chance

281001

OptionVotes

YES

1040

976

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

1107

931

Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?

May 14, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.3%chance

3154

OptionVotes

YES

166

Gout Gout ever Diagnosed with Gout?

Aug 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.79%chance

3154

OptionVotes

YES

250

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.48%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

1035

976

Extend Duration News

Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

🚨UPDATE MARCH 2026🚨 Will a decipherment of the Voynich Manuscript be scientifically recognized by end of Dec 31, 2026

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?

Gout Gout ever Diagnosed with Gout?

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

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