Extend Duration News

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

47789897

OptionVotes

YES

7410

4932

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

261497

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

Feb 19, 8:35 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

19.34%chance

211376

OptionVotes

YES

510

123

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 2:45 PMDec 5, 4:59 AM

74.3%chance

141260

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Jan 6, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.53%chance

27998

OptionVotes

YES

1053

973

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

1107

931

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Who will win the Skibidi wars? 👨🏻🚽 ⚔️ 📺📹

Jan 12, 2:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11215

OptionProbability

Alliance (Cameramen, Speakermen, TV Men)

Astro Toilets

Other

Skibidi Toilets

None

Unknown

Will Tetsuya Yamagami, Shinzo Abe's assassin, be free before the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 3:38 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

10.08%chance

5201

OptionVotes

YES

267

Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?

Sep 8, 12:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.53%chance

4100

OptionVotes

YES

119

Supreme Court ruling on 3,50€ file copying fee - Will B. win the Federal Administrative Court case?

Dec 19, 10:14 PMJan 25, 10:59 PM

64.35%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.48%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

1035

976

Extend Duration News

Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Who will win the Skibidi wars? 👨🏻🚽 ⚔️ 📺📹

Will Tetsuya Yamagami, Shinzo Abe's assassin, be free before the end of 2026?

Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?

Supreme Court ruling on 3,50€ file copying fee - Will B. win the Federal Administrative Court case?

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

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