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Prediction markets for Extend Duration

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.75%chance

48190222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7361

4947

🚨UPDATE MARCH 2026🚨 Will a decipherment of the Voynich Manuscript be scientifically recognized by end of Dec 31, 2026

Feb 18, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.28%chance

5110300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1372

2

Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)

Feb 19, 8:35 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

11.83%chance

281859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

682

92

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 2:45 PMDec 5, 4:59 AM

74.3%chance

141260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1700

588

When will I have my first robot haircut?

Feb 23, 8:02 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

321070

OptionProbability

Before 2050

Before 2040

Before 2030

80

79

28

Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?

Jan 6, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.76%chance

281001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

976

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

931

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Will Tetsuya Yamagami, Shinzo Abe's assassin, be free before the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 3:38 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

27.06%chance

7241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

62

Will NASA’s Artemis land the first woman and the first person of color on the moon?

Sep 8, 12:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46%chance

7146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?

May 14, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.74%chance

3110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.48%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

976

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