Extension News

Life Extension Velocity (LEV) - for every year we survive, we gain an extra year - by 2036?

Mar 11, 1:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.85%chance

131735

OptionVotes

YES

1146

415

What will be the status of the Los Angeles Metro D (Purple) Line Extension by the 2028 Summer Olympics?

Dec 31, 4:24 AMJul 15, 6:59 AM

3869

OptionProbability

Section 3 open

Section 2 open

Section 1 open

No sections fully open

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

1097

876

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

Sep 13, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.64%chance

12318

OptionVotes

YES

1120

938

Will TfL's planned Bakerloo Line extension to Lewisham go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:33 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54.03%chance

5267

OptionVotes

YES

173

148

Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?

Mar 23, 9:06 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

6256

OptionProbability

West London Orbital

Elizabeth line extension to Ebbsfleet

Bakerloo line extension to Lewisham

Thames Wharf DLR station

DLR extension to Thamesmead

Elizabeth line extension to Staines

Sutton Link tram line

Surrey Canal Road Overground station

Croxley Rail Link

Northern line extension to Clapham Junction

Castle Green Overground station

Central line extension to Harlow

Victoria line extension to Herne Hill

Crossrail 2

Will TfL's planned DLR Extension to Thamesmead go ahead?

Mar 11, 8:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75.59%chance

4172

OptionVotes

YES

250

Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028

Sep 25, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.23%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

134

[unlinked free response] How can Israel stop Hamas from controlling Gaza before 2030?

Oct 13, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6130

OptionProbability

Long-term total occupation of Gaza by ground troops; overseeing new elections; enforcement of a ban on Hamas membership/speech/symbols/publications ala the denazification of Germany.

Any policy

Any policy not involving extensive ground troop occupation of Gaza

Long-term refusal to supply food/water/energy

Will reviving a cryonics patient be developed before life extension to 200 years?

Feb 19, 3:00 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

54.64%chance

6111

OptionVotes

YES

115

106

Is every finite group the Galois group of a field extension of the rationals?

Jan 24, 9:25 AMSep 18, 9:59 PM

76.35%chance

484

OptionVotes

YES

180

If you're in favor of indefinite life extension, what are the biggest myths to bust for skeptics?

Nov 14, 7:18 PM

190

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Prediction markets for Extension

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Life Extension Velocity (LEV) - for every year we survive, we gain an extra year - by 2036?

What will be the status of the Los Angeles Metro D (Purple) Line Extension by the 2028 Summer Olympics?

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

Will TfL's planned Bakerloo Line extension to Lewisham go ahead?

Which of these Transport for London projects will be completed before the end of 2040?

Will TfL's planned DLR Extension to Thamesmead go ahead?

Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028

[unlinked free response] How can Israel stop Hamas from controlling Gaza before 2030?

Will reviving a cryonics patient be developed before life extension to 200 years?

Is every finite group the Galois group of a field extension of the rationals?

If you're in favor of indefinite life extension, what are the biggest myths to bust for skeptics?

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