OptionProbability
China attacks Taiwan
U.S. Attacked
China invades Taiwan
Not Guilty
Guilty [after June 5, 2024]
Record Broken for Hottest Day on Earth
Government shuts down
Trump impeached
Landmark Decision
War declared
Trump
Gaza
Putin to step down
Woman Walks on the Moon
Election overturned
Griswold Overturned
Xi dead
Swing States
America Under Attack
Russia and Ukraine [or Ukraine and Russia] sign a peace deal
Trillionaire
Ceasefire established in Gaza
Putin killed
Fed announces
On all counts
Trump again
Joe Biden Dead at 83
Trump wins
Trump convicted
Four more years
Haley to suspend campaign
Extraterrestrials Are Real
Artificial Intelligence
Putin is dead
Market Meltdown
Jimmy Carter dies
Madam President
Biden wins
Biden resigns
Biden wins again
Biden's Age is Becoming the Central Issue of the Campaign
Biden Re-elected
Sentenced to
Path to
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
United States vs. Iran
Insurgencies in Pakistan
Insurgencies in Iran
Kurdish Nationalist Conflicts
Iraqi Conflict
Insurgencies in India
India vs. Pakistan
Russian Civil Conflict
China vs. Taiwan
United States Civil Conflict
100
81
68
46
31
28
17
15
11
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031 or later
71
20
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3203
713