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Prediction markets for Fable

Fable reenabled for Europeans before July 1?

Jun 13, 9:49 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

9.7%chance

589229438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30512

3277

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by June 30?

Jun 16, 8:04 AMJun 30, 6:59 AM

24%chance

23268574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5537

1232

Will Claude Fable 5 be re-enabled for Non-Americans before July 1st, 2026?

Jun 13, 9:47 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8.57%chance

7214045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3114

542

Will the public officially be able to access Fable 5 again by the end of.July?

Jun 13, 1:40 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

78.3%chance

368628

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1899

527

Will Anthropic release a non-Fable model before Fable is rereleased?

Jun 17, 9:39 PMDec 31, 10:34 PM

44.14%chance

598627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

889

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 31?

Jun 18, 1:03 AMAug 1, 6:59 AM

83%chance

388546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2210

453

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 15?

Jun 17, 1:36 AMJul 16, 6:59 AM

68.5%chance

556906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1475

678

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by August 15?

Jun 24, 1:44 AMAug 16, 6:59 AM

92.18%chance

123356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3434

291

Will OpenAI release a Mythos-class model before Fable is reenabled?

Jun 21, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21%chance

192250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

516

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Jun 14, 2:21 AMJan 1, 2:21 AM

14.33%chance

121828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2445

409

When Fable access returns, will it be available as part of the monthly paid plan?

Jun 26, 2:15 AMJul 25, 10:59 PM

79.36%chance

91447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1961

510

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 10?

Jun 26, 9:15 AMJul 11, 6:59 AM

46.62%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

935

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