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Prediction markets for FACE Act

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

47.16%chance

15774690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

887

Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?

Dec 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71%chance

1110385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3416

72

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

85.92%chance

415204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1910

754

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.09%chance

243124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3239

689

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.37%chance

222338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1439

697

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.92%chance

111694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

934

684

Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:30 AMJan 1, 4:27 AM

23.35%chance

181074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

55

Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character?

Jul 1, 4:51 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.57%chance

4988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1543

648

Will a journalist in the U.S. face imprisonment or fines due to their professional activities before 2029?

Jan 6, 7:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.05%chance

12581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

18

Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027?

Jun 22, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.05%chance

11244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

62

Will any major USD stablecoin (USDT/USDC/PYUSD) face a federal regulatory enforcement action by August 31, 2026?

May 8, 9:00 AMAug 31, 10:00 PM

13.09%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

90

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

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