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Prediction markets for Face of Base

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.08%chance

8138437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27819

3071

Fully indistinguishable fast human deepfakes before 2030?

Feb 8, 2:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.88%chance

5511967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14879

6721

Will Intel stock reach $100 by the end of 2026?

Jan 9, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.65%chance

147515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1542

650

Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?

Jan 30, 4:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.32%chance

252915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1806

1259

Apple halves weight of Vision Pro by 2030

Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.53%chance

512258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

984

Did Luigi Mangione suffer from some degree of erectile dysfunction related to his back surgery?

Dec 10, 4:45 AMDec 17, 6:59 AM

43.58%chance

181041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

882

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.25%chance

7691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

913

Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?

Oct 29, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.15%chance

3500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1358

736

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Mar 25, 8:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.72%chance

12240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

955

Will there be a new mt. Rushmore marked with faces of Jose Luis ricon, Alexey guzey, basedbeffjezos, and qiaochu yuan

Jul 19, 11:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.82%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

322

31

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.64%chance

5195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

911

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

51.45%chance

4170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

1027

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