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Top stories

USTR Greer Says Trump’s New Tariffs All but Final

Executive Orders

USTR Greer Says Trump’s New Tariffs All but Final

Authors

5

7 days ago

Prediction markets for Face the Nation

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.1%chance

8225584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4756

624

Which university will I be admitted into?

Sep 18, 3:22 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM

2816672

OptionProbability

Oxford or Cambridge

Georgia Tech

UC San Diego

Any Ivy League school

University of Michigan - Ann Arbor

Cambridge

Oxford

I decide not to go to university for 2026-2027

UC Berkeley

Yale

Princeton

MIT

Harvard

46

35

34

31

28

26

22

18

18

15

14

10

8

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

39.14%chance

9610404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

939

If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?

Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.42%chance

469617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6356

157

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

7.05%chance

213324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3630

275

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Apr 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

18.82%chance

19973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1749

725

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

7640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1421

704

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.12%chance

7537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

598

Will Guyana suffer from the oil curse by 2035?

Jun 19, 11:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

30%chance

16518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

826

Tulsi Gabbard resigns as DNI before 2026?

Jun 18, 10:03 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38.38%chance

4370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

789

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.64%chance

8225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

898

Mo Chara (Kneecap) guilty before 2027?

Jun 25, 11:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

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