OptionProbability
Facebook
YouTube
Whatsapp
Instagram
TikTok
WeChat
Telegram
Facebook Messenger
Snapchat
X/Twitter
Cludhouse
Pinterest
99
90
80
60
50
40
30
20
10
3
2
Facebook (the timeline, not messenger)
Bluesky
Reddit
Hacker News
96
88
83
53
48
47
27
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1001
992
≥2030 or never
2026
2027
2028
2029
2025
Other
15
5