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FACTS Grounding News
Prediction markets for FACTS Grounding
Prediction markets for FACTS Grounding
If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?
Mar 13, 5:32 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
17.25%
chance
71
3252
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1802
902
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
Mar 29, 2:30 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
19%
chance
21
1509
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1523
819
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
Aug 2, 2:00 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
75.24%
chance
10
889
Option
Votes
NO
YES
265
148
LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.85%
chance
15
727
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1151
729
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%
chance
1
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
How bad is it to resolve a market as N/A?
Feb 3, 4:26 AM
64
0
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