Fake News News

NO

NO

Before 2040

Before 2039

Before 2038

Before 2037

Before 2036

Before 2035

Before 2034

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2025

Expansion of self-declared environmental licensing (e.g., PL 2159/21)

Regulation of the Tax Reform approved in 2023 (rules for the new IVA)

Amnesty for electoral fines for non-compliance with racial and gender quotas (e.g., PEC 9/23)

Increase in the duration of paternity leave for all cases that currently have this right (e.g., PL 6216/23)

Legalization of gambling (e.g., PL 2234/22)

Time limit for the demarcation of Indigenous Lands (e.g., PEC 48/23 - "Marco Temporal das Terras Indígenas")

Constitutional prohibition of carrying any quantity of illicit drugs (e.g., PEC 45/23)

Change of attribution for the demarcation of Indigenous Lands to Congress (e.g., PEC 59/23)

Prohibition of the reinstatement of Armed Forces members who leave the position to run in elections (e.g., PEC 42/23)

Some reform of military pensions

New law to regulate health plans (e.g., PL 7419/06)

Change in percentages or rules for calculating the constitutional floor for health and/or education expenses

Mineral exploration in Conservation Units (e.g., PL 5822/19)

Return of the five-year bonus payment for the Public Ministry and public defenders (e.g., PEC 10/23)

Attribution for states to legislate on the carrying and possession of firearms (e.g., PLP 108/23)

Reduction of the legal reserve proportion in the Amazon (e.g., PL 3334/23)

Prohibition of plea bargains during preventive detention (e.g., PL 4372/16)

Criminalization of a legal hypothesis for abortion that is currently considered legal (e.g., PL 1904/24 - "PL do Estuprador")

Some increase in the responsibilities of digital platforms for false content ("PL das Fake News")

Obligation for digital platforms to pay for the distribution of journalistic content

End of re-election for executive authorities (e.g., PEC 15/07)

Creation of fixed-term mandates for Supreme Court justices (e.g., PEC 16/19)

End of the Union's exclusive ownership of marine land (e.g., PEC 3/22 - "PEC das Praias")

Amnesty for those prosecuted for participating in the events of January 8, 2023 (e.g., PL 5064/23)

End of salary bonus ("Fim do abono salarial")

Impeachment of Lula

Mass AI-driven job displacement event

A government declaration/statement (any country)

Reports about software

Reports about financial activity

Report about sociological observations

Report about economic observations

AI-related academic achievement

Attack on military target

Attack on civilian target

AI-related weapon announcement/use/threat

A statement from an individual (human)

AI-related fake news

AI-related political movement (pro or anti)

A private company declaration/statement (any company)

Discovery of a spy / mole working for foreign power (or for an AI)

Military activity / posture change

An AI-related apocalypse cult attacks a civilian or military target

AI-related mass psychosis/hysteria event

An AI uncovers evidence relating to a previous event

A government of a major nation orders the shutdown of a significant AI service

AI-designed cyberweapon

AI makes prediction about future event

Open source model release

Release of a closed-source/closed-weights model

Reports of aerial devices/machines

Reports of market activity

AI-related corruption scandal

AI-related theft

A new war between nation states

AI-related resignation

Reports of activity in online communities

Reports of activity on internet-connected servers

Reports of activity in open source software

A declaration/statement from a military / intelligence agency

Reports of activity on internet media distribution platforms

People receiving messages (text / phone calls / whatsapp / ...)

AI-related diplomacy

Reports about consumer activity

Reports about identity theft

Reports of activity in religious communities

AI-related media (movie/song/book ...)

Reports about industrial activity

Reports about physical machines

Reports about criminal activity

AI-related competition achievement

A viral meme

An announcement from an AI lab similar to o3

AI-related Internet shutdown in some country

AI-related cyberattack

Conventional weapons attack on AI infrastructure / supply chain

A declaration/statement from an AI (any AI)

AI-related sex scandal

A piece of viral AI-generated media that has a strong/unexpected effect on large numbers of people (~psychological)

AI parasitism / Addictive-Persuasive Agent

Attack on Taiwan

AI-related terrorist attack

AI-related assassination

AI-designed pathogen

AI drug discovery

AI material discovery

Death of an individual in suspicious circumstances

AI-related astronomical event / observation / analysis (can also include satellites)

Reports of underwater activity

Reports of activity on blockchain networks

Reports of activity in academic communities

Publication of a research paper (or pre-print / blog post / poster / twitter thread / ... -- about research-related topic)

Reports of activity in online video games

Reports about people getting scammed

AI-related cult

AI system demonstrates general robotic control

AI causes significant stock market event

Major AGI lab whistleblower revelation

AI-related archaeology

Major AI safety incident or accident

AI system makes scientific breakthrough

AI system solves major unsolved math problem

An AI lab demonstrates an automated AI research engineer

YES

YES

Jeffrey Sachs

Huey Li (and the news)

SerpentZA

Laowhy86

Nicholas Kristof

Michael Pettis

Peter Hessler

James Fallows

Kevin D Walmsley of Inside China Business

Liziqi

Nathan Rich

Living in China

Jerry Kowal

Significant effort (10k+ posts) to manipulate comment threads on hacker news.

Asia Society Policy Institute

Yale Center Beijing

Brookings Institution (China Center)

Blondie in China

Elon Musk