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Prediction markets for Fal

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.69%chance

19933225715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

67636

3358

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

23.13%chance

212377727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1824

549

Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?

Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

32.61%chance

7364080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

726

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.7%chance

14336408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5405

1263

Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?

Jan 6, 7:00 AMJan 6, 9:59 PM

93.18%chance

8926048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9311

4632

Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?

Feb 12, 6:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.43%chance

6316191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2435

411

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

56573

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

N/A

Under $2B

53

14

9

9

8

7

TRUE or FALSE: “Masturbation is good for you”

Dec 14, 8:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71.28%chance

264272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4207

2318

Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?

Aug 8, 11:05 PMAug 9, 9:59 PM

32.48%chance

263334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

481

Will the US dollar fall to 0.000004 BTC before 2030?

Apr 20, 4:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

142806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

1098

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

Aug 8, 5:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.31%chance

61585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5574

3482

Will Bethesda publicly release Fallout V before 2031?

Feb 19, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44%chance

20936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1389

336

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