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Prediction markets for Falcon

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4.53%chance

2711089

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4397

180

Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?

May 22, 5:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

98.59%chance

2010292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10613

372

How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?

Aug 28, 2:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

87.02%chance

145214

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2318

513

Melee - Captain Falcon Stock (Permanent)

Mar 11, 5:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

232748

OptionProbability

NO

YES

451

438

In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?

Jan 15, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

232615

OptionProbability

After 2030 / never

2029-2030

2027-2028

2024-2026

43

32

24

0

Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267?

Aug 31, 9:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.79%chance

121971

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1451

689

🏈 Atlanta Falcons (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 3:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81142

OptionProbability

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Multiple QBs win a game

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Wins a preseason game

100

100

50

0

0

How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?

Mar 19, 2:02 PMMar 19, 11:59 PM

9937

OptionProbability

Fewer than 1300

Fewer than 1100

Fewer than 900

Fewer than 700

Fewer than 500

92

79

37

1

0

When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?

Jul 18, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36%chance

15536

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1095

941

How often will Starship have launched by the time of Falcon 9's retirement?

Sep 11, 11:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.82%chance

14442

OptionProbability

NO

YES

402

117

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:05 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

8.53%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

24

Will Falcon 9 have a second in-flight Anomaly in 2026?

Feb 9, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

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