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Prediction markets for Falcon

How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 7:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

147452

OptionProbability

151-170

171+

134 or less

135-150

94

4

1

1

Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 600 times?

May 22, 5:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

97.8%chance

136341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7203

539

Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?

May 22, 5:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

95.11%chance

203815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4289

540

Melee - Captain Falcon Stock (Permanent)

Mar 11, 5:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

232748

OptionProbability

NO

YES

451

438

In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?

Jan 15, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

192072

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2027-2028

After 2030 / never

2024-2026

41

39

19

1

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.8%chance

171411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1856

580

Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267?

Aug 31, 9:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.39%chance

91330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1190

840

🏈 Atlanta Falcons (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 3:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81142

OptionProbability

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Multiple QBs win a game

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Wins a preseason game

100

100

50

0

0

How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?

Aug 28, 2:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84.15%chance

121113

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2017

563

How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?

Mar 19, 2:02 PMMar 19, 11:59 PM

6756

OptionProbability

Fewer than 1300

Fewer than 1100

Fewer than 900

Fewer than 700

Fewer than 500

80

76

55

2

0

When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?

Jul 18, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.75%chance

13423

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1020

986

How often will Starship have launched by the time of Falcon 9's retirement?

Sep 11, 11:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.22%chance

11256

OptionProbability

NO

YES

400

120

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