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Prediction markets for Falling

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

52.77%chance

103119381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

946

QQQ Index falls below $350 at any point in 2025

Dec 10, 5:52 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

1.71%chance

2288195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

77082

1387

Will Bitcoin fall below $60k at any point in 2025?

Dec 20, 8:42 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

2.23%chance

10353706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9635

207

Will Bitcoin trade above $400k before it falls below $40k?

Dec 25, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

48.77%chance

5848719

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

435

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.7%chance

14336408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5405

1263

ManticAI's placement in Fall Metaculus Cup 2025 Leaderboard?

Sep 8, 7:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25014

OptionProbability

11 - 20

3 - 10

21 - 30

31+

1 - 2

33

32

14

11

10

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

24473

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

Under $2B

N/A

51

14

10

10

8

8

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32%chance

283824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

686

Will the US dollar fall to 0.000004 BTC before 2030?

Apr 20, 4:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

142806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

1098

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

Aug 8, 5:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.31%chance

61585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5574

3482

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.7%chance

8805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

755

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

00

OptionProbability

San Dieguito Bridge to I-5 (tunnel)

under Crest Canyon (tunnel)

under Camino Del Mar (tunnel)

double-track & reinforce existing route on Del Mar Bluffs (no tunnel)

don't do anything ("no build")

20

20

20

20

20

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