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Prediction markets for Fame

Which Performing Songwriters will be inducted into Songwriters Hall of Fame in 2026?

Oct 23, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45668

OptionProbability

Gene Simmons and Paul Stanley of KISS

Kenny Loggins

Taylor Swift

Gerry Beckley and Dewey Bunnell of America

David Byrne

Richard Carpenter

Harry Wayne Casey

Randy Bachman and Burton Cummings of The Guess Who

Sarah McLachlan

Alecia B. Moore p/k/a P!nk

Boz Scaggs

James Todd Smith p/k/a LL Cool J

Charlotte Caffey, Kathy Valentine and Jane M. Wiedlin of The Go-Go’s

96

96

96

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will Barry Bonds be admitted to the MLB Hall of Fame during his lifetime?

Aug 8, 2:30 PMAug 16, 3:59 AM

58.18%chance

371719

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

709

🪀What Toys will make it into the Toy Hall of Fame before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 25, 3:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

231483

OptionProbability

My Little Pony

Transformers

Pokemon cards

minecraft

Tamagotchi

Pogo stick

Operation board game

Gameboy

PEZ Dispenser

Ken doll (barbie)

Beyblades

Hess trucks

Crazy Bones / Go Gos

Metal-tipped lawn darts

100

100

86

73

71

68

66

59

58

57

42

34

34

18

Will Shohei Ohtani be banned from consideration for the baseball hall of fame before the end of 2030?

Mar 23, 7:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.6%chance

111398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

71

Shohei Ohtani admitted to the US baseball Hall of fame in his first eligible ballot

May 26, 2:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

96.02%chance

11854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

574

62

Will Roger Clemens be admitted to the MLB Hall of Fame during his lifetime?

Aug 8, 3:25 PMAug 16, 3:59 AM

49.4%chance

30747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

901

Will Pete Rose be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame by the end of 2026?

Oct 20, 3:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.09%chance

9570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will Pete Rose be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame by the end of 2027?

Oct 20, 3:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.02%chance

8517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will Shohei Ohtani be inducted into the baseball hall of fame before the end of 2045?

Apr 13, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.85%chance

8350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

570

116

🪀What Toys will make it into the Toy Hall of Fame in 2026?

Jan 8, 3:06 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8303

OptionProbability

Ken doll (barbie)

Pogo stick

PEZ Dispenser

Hess trucks

Operation board game

Pokemon cards

Tamagotchi

minecraft

Crazy Bones / Go Gos

Gameboy

Beyblades

Metal-tipped lawn darts

82

31

24

24

24

24

24

20

16

11

9

6

Is Jordan Love a Hall of Fame quarterback?

Jan 15, 6:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14.77%chance

7239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

80

Will Al Pacino get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?

Mar 10, 6:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.59%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

117

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