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Prediction markets for Family

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

706875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5306

878

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.63%chance

251331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2153

1747

Will the top model by OpenAI rank 3rd (or lower) behind 2 other model families at any point before 2026?

Sep 15, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.77%chance

71150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1484

674

How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?

Aug 28, 2:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.35%chance

12963

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1867

593

Will Barron Trump ever evict one of his immediate family members?

Mar 22, 3:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.51%chance

24717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

934

Will the federal government pass a law which would prevent hedge funds from owning single-family homes before 2026?

Dec 10, 1:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.14%chance

16673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

923

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.17%chance

17603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

950

Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?

Jun 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.51%chance

8585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

775

Will the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?

Feb 20, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.13%chance

20324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

931

Will the Trump family acquire a stake in Binance by the end of 2026?

Mar 13, 5:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.27%chance

5171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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