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Prediction markets for Family

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

Will Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?

Jan 4, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.96%chance

353960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

784

How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?

Aug 28, 2:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

89.22%chance

132701

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2630

471

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44%chance

222592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

812

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.96%chance

291737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2006

1960

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

1260

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

Will Congress ban institutional investors from buying single family homes by 2027

Jan 7, 9:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.14%chance

71405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2367

422

Will Barron Trump ever evict one of his immediate family members?

Mar 22, 3:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.99%chance

241165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

926

Valid proof of new infinite family of book Ramsey numbers R(B_{n-1}, B_n) = 4n-1 (FrontierMath Open problems benchmark)?

Mar 28, 9:14 PMJan 1, 10:00 PM

66.69%chance

6829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1415

707

Will the Trump family acquire a stake in Binance by the end of 2026?

Mar 13, 5:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.21%chance

5721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1678

627

Will the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?

Feb 20, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.56%chance

21332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

939

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