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Prediction markets for FARA
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
64%chance
4511708
OptionVotes
1347
614
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Oct 27, 2:21 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
2%chance
296876
OptionVotes
5697
732
OptionVotes
1715
583
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Sep 4, 8:14 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
33.49%chance
191954
OptionVotes
1049
893
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
151650
OptionProbability
27
21
17
7
6
6
5
5
3
2
If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
Jul 7, 2:17 PMJul 7, 2:05 PM
58.62%chance
171587
OptionVotes
1190
840
Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Jul 31, 12:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
271236
OptionVotes
180
68
Does there exist at least 1 pair of humans which can telepathically communicate through a faraday cage?
Mar 27, 6:57 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
6.98%chance
8890
OptionVotes
434
87
Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
Jun 1, 2:17 AMAug 16, 2:10 AM
93.54%chance
19719
OptionVotes
381
26
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
Feb 9, 3:25 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM
33%chance
21649
OptionVotes
142
70
Will Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe manage to pull off a 'Unite the Right'?
Aug 26, 1:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
59.1%chance
4255
OptionVotes
120
83
OptionProbability
49
17
17
17