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Farm Bill News
Prediction markets for Farm Bill
Prediction markets for Farm Bill
Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?
Apr 29, 12:45 AM
Jan 14, 12:59 AM
2.79%
chance
96
58132
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26360
741
Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?
Nov 13, 4:55 AM
Nov 12, 4:47 AM
88.14%
chance
19
3218
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2726
367
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 7:12 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
72.55%
chance
25
1885
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1481
722
Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 2:14 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
72.85%
chance
12
265
Option
Votes
NO
YES
354
219
Will a new Farm Bill become law by the end of 2026?
Jul 20, 12:08 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
23.96%
chance
7
252
Option
Votes
YES
NO
178
56
Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 2:49 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
75.86%
chance
10
207
Option
Votes
NO
YES
399
199
Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 29, 3:04 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
43.34%
chance
7
146
Option
Votes
YES
NO
279
171
Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:06 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
67.62%
chance
6
136
Option
Votes
NO
YES
382
213
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