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Top stories

VIX Spikes Post-Fed Then Drops to Mid-15s as SPX Futures Rise 60 Points on Meta and Microsoft Gains

VIX Spikes Post-Fed Then Drops to Mid-15s as SPX Futures Rise 60 Points on Meta and Microsoft Gains

Authors

10

16 days ago

Prediction markets for Fed

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.54%chance

3845382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27689

3612

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

82.38%chance

2635273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

841

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.91%chance

245652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4956

202

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Jul 16, 7:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

12.63%chance

332830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

263

38

Fed funds rate below 3% by EOY2025?

Mar 19, 9:01 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

1%chance

111743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

42%chance

101373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

12.95%chance

161222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2127

703

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will "In The End, Gold Destroy The Fed" after "We Are Going To Experience Two Resets"?

Aug 8, 6:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

116

Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?

Apr 22, 11:07 AMMay 30, 10:59 PM

20.46%chance

7214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

592

481

How many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?

Nov 18, 8:09 PMJan 24, 7:59 AM

7158

OptionProbability

Zero

Other

Twice

Once

46

21

18

14

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